Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through July 2
New SEBA projections. Union chances improve a little, but power ranking improves a lot, as the model still tries to figure out what to think of Philadelphia.
Articles written by: Chris Sherman
Chris is a data scientist who was a mediocre left back and center back for the Upper Dublin High School..... JV team. He then got a Computer Science & Business degree from Lehigh University and a Master's' degree from Northwestern University in Predictive Analytics. He likes data and building programs to do his thinking for him.
SEBA Projections
SEBA Projections
Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through June 24
Philadelphia’s odds improve, but are still in a deep hole. Chicago stays on top.
SEBA Projections
Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through June 18
Philadelphia’s playoffs chances continue to crash. Also, the USOC chances get bleak due to unlucky draw.
SEBA Projections
Updated SEBA international forecasts through June 13
Updates to USMNT projections after their draw at Azteca; Updates on total world cup picture
SEBA Projections
Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through June 11
Despite only a few games this week, Philadelphia’s chances continue to decline a little bit.
SEBA Projections
Updated SEBA international forecasts through June 8
How can stats forecast the Hex for the USMNT? Chris Sherman has the latest.
SEBA Projections
Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through June 4
Chicago at the top of the power rankings. Philadelphia continues declining. They’ll need to pull at least 7 points from the next three home matches to improve their playoffs outlook.
SEBA Projections
Updated SEBA international forecasts through May 29
USMNT projections, World Cup/Qualifying projections, Gold Cup projections, all kinds of projections
SEBA Projections
Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through May 28
Philadelphia moves up in power rankings but down in playoff chances. Toronto is back on top.
Analysis / Statistics
Investigating home field advantage in MLS, Part 2: Crowd Size
Chris Sherman continues to investigate potential causes for home field advantage in MLS using statistical analysis. This second article demonstrates home field advantage and studies the effect of the size of the home crowd on the home team’s advantage.
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